Predicted scoreLikely
Charlotte
21.5
App State
30.4
App State win probability: 72%
Margin (App State − Charlotte): 8.9 (80% range -11 to 29)
Total: 51.8 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:30 PM | 9.0 | 51.7 | 72% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:42 PM | 8.7 | 52.3 | 71% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:16 PM | 8.9 | 51.8 | 72% |