Charlotte
American Athletic
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs App State | 34–11 | 30.6–23.2 | 15.7 |
| Week 2 | vs North Carolina | 20–3 | 34.4–20.7 | 3.4 |
| Week 4 | vs Rice | 28–17 | 24.8–24.7 | 10.9 |
| Week 6 | @ South Florida | 54–26 | 35.4–16.5 | 9.2 |
| Week 7 | @ Army | 24–7 | 32.6–14.3 | 1.4 |
| Week 8 | vs Temple | 49–14 | 27.5–24.8 | 32.3 |
| Week 9 | vs North Texas | 54–20 | 36.8–19.3 | 16.5 |
| Week 11 | @ East Carolina | 48–22 | 33.3–16.7 | 9.4 |
| Week 12 | vs UTSA | 28–7 | 30.5–20.0 | 10.5 |
| Week 13 | @ Georgia | 35–3 | 41.0–10.8 | 1.7 |
| Week 14 | @ Tulane | 27–0 | 34.5–14.5 | 7.0 |