2025 Week 1 · Aug 29, 2025, 11:00 PM · Bank of America Stadium (neutral site)

App State @ Charlotte

Predicted scoreLean

App State

30.6

Charlotte

23.2

Charlotte win probability: 33%

Margin (Charlotte − App State): -7.3 (80% range -28 to 13)

Total: 53.8 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: App State 34 – Charlotte 11 (margin error 15.7, total error 8.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.