Predicted scoreToss-up
Temple
27.5
Charlotte
24.8
Charlotte win probability: 44%
Margin (Charlotte − Temple): -2.7 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 52.2 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Temple 49 – Charlotte 14 (margin error 32.3, total error 10.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.81% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.70% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.