2026 Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026, 4:00 AM · DATCU Stadium
Charlotte @ North Texas
Predicted scoreConfident
Charlotte
15.5
North Texas
40.0
North Texas win probability: 94%
Margin (North Texas − Charlotte): 24.6 (80% range 4 to 46)
Total: 55.5 (80% range 33 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 38 | 0.83% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 45 | 0.76% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.75% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:21 PM | 24.6 | 55.5 | 94% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:21 PM | 24.6 | 55.5 | 94% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:26 PM | 24.6 | 55.5 | 94% |