California

ACC

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ SMU	36.2–20.1	16%
Week 9	@ NC State	30.9–22.6	30%
Week 11	@ Virginia	30.4–19.9	25%
Week 12	vs Stanford	21.7–28.5	67%
Week 13	vs Pittsburgh	28.2–21.3	33%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs UCLA	45–24	25.6–26.4	21.8
Week 2	@ Syracuse	18–21	28.6–26.1	5.6
Week 3	vs Wagner	7–49	—	—
Week 4	vs Clemson	24–10	27.8–25.6	11.8
Week 5	@ UNLV	39–31	28.5–23.1	2.6
Week 6	vs Virginia Tech	20–25	27.2–27.0	5.2
Week 7	vs Wake Forest	41–7	31.3–22.0	24.7