2026 Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026, 5:00 AM · California Memorial Stadium
Stanford @ California
Predicted scoreLean
Stanford
22.8
California
26.9
California win probability: 60%
Margin (California − Stanford): 4.1 (80% range -15 to 24)
Total: 49.6 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 21 | 0.82% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:43 PM | 4.1 | 49.6 | 60% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:45 PM | 4.1 | 49.6 | 60% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:44 PM | 4.1 | 49.6 | 60% |