California
ACC
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Oregon State | 15–34 | 26.8–27.0 | 18.8 |
| Week 3 | vs Minnesota | 14–27 | 28.8–21.4 | 20.4 |
| Week 4 | @ San Diego State | 34–0 | 23.7–28.2 | 38.5 |
| Week 5 | @ Boston College | 24–28 | 30.8–21.3 | 13.5 |
| Week 6 | vs Duke | 45–21 | 31.9–25.8 | 17.9 |
| Week 8 | vs North Carolina | 18–21 | 24.0–29.1 | 2.1 |
| Week 9 | @ Virginia Tech | 42–34 | 31.5–24.4 | 1.0 |
| Week 10 | vs Virginia | 31–21 | 29.6–24.7 | 5.1 |
| Week 11 | @ Louisville | 26–29 | 34.4–17.6 | 19.8 |
| Week 13 | @ Stanford | 31–10 | 23.8–24.4 | 21.6 |
| Week 14 | vs SMU | 35–38 | 31.8–21.0 | 13.8 |
| Week 1 | @ Hawai'i | 35–31 | 22.7–30.4 | 11.7 |