2025 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2025, 12:30 AM · Stanford Stadium
California @ Stanford
Predicted scoreToss-up
California
24.4
Stanford
23.8
Stanford win probability: 48%
Margin (Stanford − California): -0.6 (80% range -21 to 18)
Total: 48.2 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: California 10 – Stanford 31 (margin error 21.6, total error 7.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.