2026 Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026, 2:30 AM · California Memorial Stadium
Clemson @ California
Predicted scoreLean
Clemson
31.0
California
23.9
California win probability: 33%
Margin (California − Clemson): -7.0 (80% range -28 to 14)
Total: 54.9 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:46 PM | -6.9 | 54.9 | 33% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:49 PM | -7.0 | 54.9 | 33% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:38 PM | -7.0 | 54.9 | 33% |