2026 Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026, 4:00 AM · California Memorial Stadium
Wake Forest @ California
Predicted scoreToss-up
Wake Forest
24.8
California
25.6
California win probability: 52%
Margin (California − Wake Forest): 0.8 (80% range -19 to 21)
Total: 50.5 (80% range 28 to 74)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:29 PM | 0.9 | 50.6 | 52% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:36 PM | 0.9 | 50.5 | 52% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:05 PM | 0.8 | 50.5 | 52% |