2026 Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026, 4:00 AM · California Memorial Stadium
Virginia Tech @ California
Predicted scoreLean
Virginia Tech
25.4
California
29.7
California win probability: 61%
Margin (California − Virginia Tech): 4.3 (80% range -16 to 25)
Total: 55.1 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:15 PM | 4.4 | 55.2 | 61% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:28 PM | 4.3 | 55.1 | 61% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:19 PM | 4.3 | 55.1 | 61% |