2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · California Memorial Stadium
Pittsburgh @ California
Predicted scoreToss-up
Pittsburgh
26.4
California
23.3
California win probability: 42%
Margin (California − Pittsburgh): -3.1 (80% range -23 to 17)
Total: 49.7 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.79% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:00 PM | -3.1 | 49.7 | 42% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:06 PM | -3.2 | 49.7 | 42% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:19 PM | -3.1 | 49.7 | 42% |