Western Michigan
Mid-American
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Michigan State | 23–6 | 30.9–21.9 | 7.9 |
| Week 2 | vs North Texas | 33–30 | 27.0–28.9 | 4.9 |
| Week 3 | @ Illinois | 38–0 | 36.6–17.1 | 18.6 |
| Week 4 | vs Toledo | 13–14 | 29.9–20.6 | 10.2 |
| Week 6 | @ Massachusetts | 3–21 | 21.1–29.4 | 9.7 |
| Week 7 | vs Ball State | 0–42 | 22.3–27.5 | 36.8 |
| Week 9 | @ Miami (OH) | 26–17 | 22.1–21.9 | 8.9 |
| Week 10 | vs Central Michigan | 21–24 | 21.7–27.3 | 2.6 |
| Week 12 | vs Ohio | 13–17 | 26.2–22.3 | 8.0 |
| Week 13 | @ Northern Illinois | 19–35 | 21.9–25.0 | 12.9 |
| Week 14 | @ Eastern Michigan | 21–31 | 25.8–27.1 | 8.7 |
| Week 15 | vs Miami (OH) | 13–23 | 24.1–23.6 | 10.5 |
| Week 1 | vs Kennesaw State | 6–41 | 21.7–31.6 | 25.1 |