2025 Week 9 · Oct 25, 2025, 7:30 PM · Yager Stadium
Western Michigan @ Miami (OH)
Predicted scoreToss-up
Western Michigan
21.9
Miami (OH)
22.1
Miami (OH) win probability: 50%
Margin (Miami (OH) − Western Michigan): 0.1 (80% range -18 to 19)
Total: 44.0 (80% range 24 to 66)
Actual: Western Michigan 17 – Miami (OH) 26 (margin error 8.9, total error 1.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | 0.83% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.78% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.