2025 Week 15 · Dec 6, 2025, 5:00 PM · Ford Field (neutral site)

Miami (OH) @ Western Michigan

Predicted scoreToss-up

Miami (OH)

24.1

Western Michigan

23.6

Western Michigan win probability: 49%

Margin (Western Michigan − Miami (OH)): -0.5 (80% range -21 to 19)

Total: 47.6 (80% range 27 to 71)

Actual: Miami (OH) 13 – Western Michigan 23 (margin error 10.5, total error 11.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.