2025 Week 10 · Nov 1, 2025, 8:00 PM · Waldo Stadium
Central Michigan @ Western Michigan
Predicted scoreLean
Central Michigan
21.7
Western Michigan
27.3
Western Michigan win probability: 64%
Margin (Western Michigan − Central Michigan): 5.6 (80% range -14 to 25)
Total: 49.0 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: Central Michigan 21 – Western Michigan 24 (margin error 2.6, total error 4.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.