2025 Postseason · Dec 19, 2025, 4:00 PM · Brooks Stadium (SC) (neutral site)

Kennesaw State @ Western Michigan

Predicted scoreLikely

Kennesaw State

21.7

Western Michigan

31.6

Western Michigan win probability: 74%

Margin (Western Michigan − Kennesaw State): 9.9 (80% range -10 to 31)

Total: 53.4 (80% range 31 to 78)

Actual: Kennesaw State 6 – Western Michigan 41 (margin error 25.1, total error 6.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.