Miami (OH)
Mid-American
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Miami | 38–3 | 31.6–21.1 | 24.5 |
| Week 2 | @ Massachusetts | 28–41 | 21.2–28.6 | 5.6 |
| Week 3 | @ Cincinnati | 24–31 | 34.8–15.7 | 26.1 |
| Week 5 | @ Kent State | 3–23 | 24.6–29.0 | 15.5 |
| Week 6 | vs Bowling Green | 0–27 | 20.5–21.6 | 26.0 |
| Week 7 | @ Western Michigan | 21–34 | 23.8–27.4 | 9.3 |
| Week 8 | vs Toledo | 21–17 | 24.3–25.3 | 5.0 |
| Week 9 | @ Ohio | 16–30 | 26.9–20.5 | 20.3 |
| Week 11 | vs Akron | 0–19 | 16.9–31.7 | 4.3 |
| Week 12 | vs Buffalo | 10–23 | 19.2–25.5 | 6.7 |
| Week 13 | @ Ball State | 15–17 | 19.0–27.7 | 6.8 |
| Week 14 | @ Toledo | 14–23 | 25.5–25.1 | 9.4 |
| Week 1 | @ App State | 13–9 | 31.7–23.2 | 4.6 |