2023 Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023, 5:00 PM · Scheumann Stadium
Miami (OH) @ Ball State
Predicted scoreLikely
Miami (OH)
27.7
Ball State
19.0
Ball State win probability: 29%
Margin (Ball State − Miami (OH)): -8.8 (80% range -28 to 11)
Total: 46.7 (80% range 26 to 69)
Actual: Miami (OH) 17 – Ball State 15 (margin error 6.8, total error 14.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 17 | 0.84% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 7 | 0.76% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.76% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.