2023 Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023, 8:00 PM · Yager Stadium
Toledo @ Miami (OH)
Predicted scoreToss-up
Toledo
24.3
Miami (OH)
25.3
Miami (OH) win probability: 53%
Margin (Miami (OH) − Toledo): 1.0 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 49.6 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: Toledo 21 – Miami (OH) 17 (margin error 5.0, total error 11.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.