2023 Week 1 · Sep 1, 2023, 11:00 PM · Hard Rock Stadium
Miami (OH) @ Miami
Predicted scoreLikely
Miami (OH)
21.1
Miami
31.6
Miami win probability: 74%
Margin (Miami − Miami (OH)): 10.5 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 52.6 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Miami (OH) 3 – Miami 38 (margin error 24.5, total error 11.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.