2023 Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023, 7:30 PM · Waldo Stadium
Miami (OH) @ Western Michigan
Predicted scoreToss-up
Miami (OH)
27.4
Western Michigan
23.8
Western Michigan win probability: 41%
Margin (Western Michigan − Miami (OH)): -3.7 (80% range -24 to 16)
Total: 51.2 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Miami (OH) 34 – Western Michigan 21 (margin error 9.3, total error 3.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.