2023 Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023, 11:00 PM · Nippert Stadium
Miami (OH) @ Cincinnati
Predicted scoreConfident
Miami (OH)
15.7
Cincinnati
34.8
Cincinnati win probability: 89%
Margin (Cincinnati − Miami (OH)): 19.1 (80% range 0 to 39)
Total: 50.5 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Miami (OH) 31 – Cincinnati 24 (margin error 26.1, total error 4.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 38 | 0.80% |
| 7 | 28 | 0.77% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.72% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.