Florida
SEC
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs South Florida | 18–16 | 19.5–33.3 | 15.8 |
| Week 3 | @ LSU | 20–10 | 29.1–24.2 | 5.1 |
| Week 4 | @ Miami | 26–7 | 31.6–21.8 | 9.2 |
| Week 6 | vs Texas | 21–29 | 26.2–19.4 | 14.9 |
| Week 7 | @ Texas A&M | 34–17 | 24.8–20.3 | 12.5 |
| Week 8 | vs Mississippi State | 21–23 | 22.9–29.9 | 5.0 |
| Week 10 | vs Georgia | 24–20 | 29.2–22.0 | 3.2 |
| Week 11 | @ Kentucky | 38–7 | 23.1–21.9 | 29.8 |
| Week 12 | @ Ole Miss | 34–24 | 33.5–20.7 | 2.7 |
| Week 13 | vs Tennessee | 31–11 | 28.9–23.4 | 14.5 |
| Week 14 | vs Florida State | 21–40 | 26.7–25.1 | 20.6 |