Predicted scoreLean
Florida
24.2
LSU
29.1
LSU win probability: 62%
Margin (LSU − Florida): 4.9 (80% range -15 to 25)
Total: 53.3 (80% range 31 to 78)
Actual: Florida 10 – LSU 20 (margin error 5.1, total error 23.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.63% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.