Predicted scoreLean
Georgia
29.2
Florida
22.0
Florida win probability: 32%
Margin (Florida − Georgia): -7.2 (80% range -28 to 13)
Total: 51.2 (80% range 28 to 76)
Actual: Georgia 24 – Florida 20 (margin error 3.2, total error 7.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.