Predicted scoreLikely
Florida
21.8
Miami
31.6
Miami win probability: 74%
Margin (Miami − Florida): 9.8 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 53.4 (80% range 31 to 78)
Actual: Florida 7 – Miami 26 (margin error 9.2, total error 20.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 35 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.