2025 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2025, 12:00 AM · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Florida @ Ole Miss

Predicted scoreLikely

Florida

20.7

Ole Miss

33.5

Ole Miss win probability: 79%

Margin (Ole Miss − Florida): 12.7 (80% range -7 to 34)

Total: 54.2 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Florida 24 – Ole Miss 34 (margin error 2.7, total error 3.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.