Predicted scoreLean
Florida
20.3
Texas A&M
24.8
Texas A&M win probability: 62%
Margin (Texas A&M − Florida): 4.5 (80% range -14 to 24)
Total: 45.1 (80% range 24 to 68)
Actual: Florida 17 – Texas A&M 34 (margin error 12.5, total error 5.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.