Tulane

American Athletic

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs UTSA	24.0–28.0	60%
Week 9	@ Charlotte	14.1–30.9	87%
Week 10	vs Tulsa	22.1–29.6	68%
Week 11	@ Rice	16.8–31.5	83%
Week 12	vs North Texas	27.9–27.9	50%
Week 13	@ South Florida	25.0–23.9	47%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ Duke	17–3	30.5–24.4	7.9
Week 2	vs South Alabama	24–28	18.2–31.5	9.2
Week 3	@ Kansas State	31–20	30.7–17.5	2.2
Week 4	vs Southern Miss	21–24	18.7–33.0	11.2
Week 6	@ Army	20–17	26.0–25.5	2.5
Week 7	vs Memphis	17–31	28.0–27.8	14.2