2026 Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026, 5:00 AM · Yulman Stadium
North Texas @ Tulane
Predicted scoreToss-up
North Texas
30.1
Tulane
28.3
Tulane win probability: 46%
Margin (Tulane − North Texas): -1.8 (80% range -23 to 18)
Total: 58.3 (80% range 34 to 84)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:55 PM | -1.8 | 58.3 | 46% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:51 PM | -1.8 | 59.7 | 46% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:42 PM | -1.8 | 58.3 | 46% |