2026 Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026, 5:00 AM · Yulman Stadium
North Texas @ Tulane
Predicted scoreToss-up
North Texas
27.9
Tulane
27.9
Tulane win probability: 50%
Margin (Tulane − North Texas): -0.1 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 55.8 (80% range 33 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:55 PM | -1.8 | 58.3 | 46% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:51 PM | -1.8 | 59.7 | 46% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:42 PM | -1.8 | 58.3 | 46% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:51:02 AM | -1.8 | 58.4 | 46% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:35 PM | -1.9 | 58.4 | 46% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:05:12 PM | -1.8 | 59.5 | 46% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:59:07 PM | -1.0 | 56.2 | 48% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:00:59 PM | -5.8 | 55.1 | 36% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:32 PM | -5.8 | 55.2 | 36% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:01:25 PM | -5.5 | 55.1 | 36% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:07 PM | -5.5 | 55.1 | 36% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:34:14 PM | -1.7 | 58.3 | 46% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:27 PM | -0.4 | 58.7 | 49% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:44:24 PM | -0.9 | 57.7 | 48% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:28 PM | -0.1 | 55.8 | 50% |