2026 Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026, 4:00 PM · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Tulane @ Kansas State
Predicted scoreLikely
Tulane
20.9
Kansas State
29.5
Kansas State win probability: 71%
Margin (Kansas State − Tulane): 8.6 (80% range -11 to 28)
Total: 50.4 (80% range 28 to 74)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:34 PM | 8.5 | 50.5 | 71% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:36 PM | 8.5 | 50.4 | 71% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:58 PM | 8.6 | 50.4 | 71% |