Predicted scoreLean
UTSA
23.9
Tulane
28.7
Tulane win probability: 62%
Margin (Tulane − UTSA): 4.8 (80% range -15 to 25)
Total: 52.6 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.61% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:53 PM | 4.8 | 52.6 | 62% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:54 PM | 4.8 | 52.5 | 62% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:49 PM | 4.8 | 52.6 | 62% |