Pittsburgh
ACC
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs Cincinnati | 27–21 | 22.1–28.8 | 12.7 |
| Week 3 | @ West Virginia | 17–6 | 28.3–26.5 | 9.1 |
| Week 4 | vs North Carolina | 41–24 | 24.0–25.2 | 18.3 |
| Week 5 | @ Virginia Tech | 38–21 | 24.0–24.9 | 17.9 |
| Week 7 | vs Louisville | 21–38 | 27.5–22.8 | 21.7 |
| Week 8 | @ Wake Forest | 21–17 | 24.8–24.9 | 4.1 |
| Week 9 | @ Notre Dame | 58–7 | 32.4–16.3 | 34.8 |
| Week 10 | vs Florida State | 24–7 | 32.7–19.6 | 3.9 |
| Week 11 | @ Syracuse | 28–13 | 19.9–26.6 | 21.7 |
| Week 12 | vs Boston College | 16–24 | 22.7–25.5 | 5.2 |
| Week 13 | @ Duke | 30–19 | 29.0–19.0 | 0.9 |