2023 Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023, 11:30 PM · Milan Puskar Stadium

Pittsburgh @ West Virginia

Predicted scoreToss-up

Pittsburgh

26.5

West Virginia

28.3

West Virginia win probability: 55%

Margin (West Virginia − Pittsburgh): 1.9 (80% range -18 to 22)

Total: 54.8 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Pittsburgh 6 – West Virginia 17 (margin error 9.1, total error 31.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.