2023 Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023, 8:30 PM · Yankee Stadium (neutral site)

Pittsburgh @ Syracuse

Predicted scoreLean

Pittsburgh

26.6

Syracuse

19.9

Syracuse win probability: 33%

Margin (Syracuse − Pittsburgh): -6.7 (80% range -27 to 13)

Total: 46.5 (80% range 24 to 69)

Actual: Pittsburgh 13 – Syracuse 28 (margin error 21.7, total error 5.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.