2023 Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023, 10:30 PM · Acrisure Stadium
Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh
Predicted scoreLean
Cincinnati
22.1
Pittsburgh
28.8
Pittsburgh win probability: 67%
Margin (Pittsburgh − Cincinnati): 6.7 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 50.9 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Cincinnati 27 – Pittsburgh 21 (margin error 12.7, total error 2.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.