2023 Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023, 5:00 PM · Wallace Wade Stadium
Pittsburgh @ Duke
Predicted scoreLikely
Pittsburgh
19.0
Duke
29.0
Duke win probability: 74%
Margin (Duke − Pittsburgh): 10.1 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 48.0 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Pittsburgh 19 – Duke 30 (margin error 0.9, total error 1.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.88% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 7 | 21 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.