2023 Week 12 · Nov 17, 2023, 12:00 AM · Acrisure Stadium

Boston College @ Pittsburgh

Predicted scoreToss-up

Boston College

22.7

Pittsburgh

25.5

Pittsburgh win probability: 57%

Margin (Pittsburgh − Boston College): 2.8 (80% range -17 to 23)

Total: 48.2 (80% range 27 to 72)

Actual: Boston College 16 – Pittsburgh 24 (margin error 5.2, total error 8.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.