Oregon State

Pac-12

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 9	@ Fresno State	26.4–27.5	53%
Week 10	vs Texas State	27.2–35.0	68%
Week 11	@ Boise State	33.9–28.2	37%
Week 12	vs Utah State	24.5–32.0	68%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ Houston	33–20	34.1–18.1	2.9
Week 2	vs Texas Tech	35–24	36.7–16.4	9.3
Week 3	vs Montana	17–52	—	—
Week 4	@ UTEP	7–33	21.7–29.4	18.3
Week 5	@ Colorado State	26–56	29.5–28.8	30.7
Week 6	vs San Diego State	14–66	20.2–28.9	43.3
Week 7	vs Washington State	30–48	20.3–29.7	8.6