2026 Week 12 · Nov 22, 2026, 3:30 AM · Reser Stadium
Utah State @ Oregon State
Predicted scoreLean
Utah State
31.2
Oregon State
23.9
Oregon State win probability: 32%
Margin (Oregon State − Utah State): -7.3 (80% range -28 to 14)
Total: 55.1 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:51 PM | -7.3 | 55.1 | 32% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:58 PM | -7.3 | 55.1 | 32% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:59 PM | -7.3 | 55.1 | 32% |