2026 Week 5 · Oct 3, 2026, 10:00 PM · Canvas Stadium
Oregon State @ Colorado State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Oregon State
25.2
Colorado State
29.1
Colorado State win probability: 59%
Margin (Colorado State − Oregon State): 3.9 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 54.3 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:02 PM | 3.9 | 54.3 | 60% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:16 PM | 3.9 | 54.3 | 59% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:28:52 PM | 3.9 | 54.3 | 59% |