2026 Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026, 10:00 PM · Reser Stadium
Washington State @ Oregon State
Predicted scoreLikely
Washington State
20.3
Oregon State
29.7
Oregon State win probability: 73%
Margin (Oregon State − Washington State): 9.4 (80% range -10 to 29)
Total: 50.0 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Washington State 30 – Oregon State 48 (margin error 8.6, total error 28.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:35 PM | -9.6 | 50.9 | 27% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:44 PM | -9.6 | 50.9 | 27% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:18 PM | -9.6 | 51.0 | 27% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:47:11 AM | -9.6 | 50.9 | 27% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:03:57 PM | -9.7 | 50.9 | 27% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:01:32 PM | -10.5 | 50.2 | 25% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:55:27 PM | -9.0 | 50.7 | 28% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:19 PM | -3.9 | 49.8 | 40% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:39:28 PM | -3.9 | 49.8 | 40% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:59:19 AM | -3.5 | 49.7 | 41% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:37:48 PM | -3.5 | 49.7 | 41% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:31:45 PM | -0.3 | 49.0 | 49% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:16 PM | 4.9 | 49.8 | 62% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:41:34 PM | 9.4 | 50.0 | 73% |