2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 11:30 PM · Reser Stadium
Texas Tech @ Oregon State
Predicted scoreConfident
Texas Tech
38.0
Oregon State
15.3
Oregon State win probability: 8%
Margin (Oregon State − Texas Tech): -22.8 (80% range -44 to -3)
Total: 53.3 (80% range 31 to 77)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | 10 | 0.80% |
| 38 | 7 | 0.79% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.79% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:25 PM | -23.0 | 53.1 | 7% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:33 PM | -22.8 | 53.6 | 8% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:47 PM | -22.8 | 53.3 | 8% |