2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 AM · Valley Children's Stadium
Oregon State @ Fresno State
Predicted scoreLikely
Oregon State
17.8
Fresno State
28.7
Fresno State win probability: 76%
Margin (Fresno State − Oregon State): 10.9 (80% range -8 to 31)
Total: 46.5 (80% range 24 to 69)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.75% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:58 PM | 10.9 | 46.5 | 76% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:07 PM | 10.9 | 46.5 | 76% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:23 PM | 10.9 | 46.5 | 76% |