North Dakota State

Mountain West

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ New Mexico	27.2–15.9	22%
Week 9	vs UTEP	7.8–29.8	94%
Week 11	@ Hawai'i	19.2–23.3	61%
Week 12	vs Northern Illinois	12.5–27.7	86%
Week 13	@ San José State	17.5–23.5	66%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Jacksonville State	7–33	—	—
Week 1	vs Fordham	0–38	—	—
Week 2	@ Air Force	32–38	16.8–27.4	4.6
Week 3	@ Sacramento State	10–31	12.4–34.6	1.1
Week 5	vs Wyoming	0–28	16.1–26.8	17.2
Week 6	@ UNLV	13–7	24.2–21.6	3.3
Week 7	vs Nevada	17–31	17.7–26.7	5.1