2026 Week 5 · Oct 3, 2026, 7:30 PM · Fargodome

Wyoming @ North Dakota State

Predicted scoreLikely

Wyoming

19.8

North Dakota State

29.9

North Dakota State win probability: 73%

Margin (North Dakota State − Wyoming): 10.1 (80% range -11 to 32)

Total: 49.7 (80% range 30 to 71)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.