Predicted scoreLikely
TCU
34.2
Stanford
22.6
Stanford win probability: 24%
Margin (Stanford − TCU): -11.7 (80% range -32 to 9)
Total: 56.8 (80% range 34 to 82)
Actual: TCU 34 – Stanford 27 (margin error 4.7, total error 4.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.