2024 Week 2 · Sep 8, 2024, 2:00 AM · Autzen Stadium
Boise State @ Oregon
Predicted scoreLikely
Boise State
22.5
Oregon
38.4
Oregon win probability: 83%
Margin (Oregon − Boise State): 15.8 (80% range -5 to 38)
Total: 60.9 (80% range 37 to 87)
Actual: Boise State 34 – Oregon 37 (margin error 12.8, total error 10.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 38 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.67% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.